Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.049002 0.058158 0.068443 0.080836 0.095352 0.111799 0.131834
2025-04-20 0.035342 0.047205 0.062065 0.081977 0.107893 0.140402 0.184194
2025-04-27 0.027277 0.039977 0.057296 0.082494 0.118051 0.166239 0.236269
2025-05-04 0.021971 0.034802 0.053582 0.082831 0.126936 0.190594 0.288971
2025-05-11 0.018420 0.031222 0.051149 0.084062 0.136603 0.216622 0.346904
2025-05-18 0.016103 0.028996 0.050193 0.087071 0.148969 0.247779 0.416136
2025-05-25 0.013265 0.025305 0.046154 0.084254 0.151292 0.263123 0.461920
2025-06-01 0.011439 0.023009 0.044023 0.084184 0.157943 0.285985 0.522460
2025-06-08 0.009807 0.020750 0.041544 0.083011 0.162306 0.305201 0.578715
2025-06-15 0.008841 0.019599 0.040907 0.085084 0.172732 0.336134 0.659188
2025-06-22 0.007699 0.017871 0.038860 0.084068 0.177047 0.356214 0.721753
2025-06-29 0.006626 0.016087 0.036406 0.081823 0.178546 0.370973 0.775625
2025-07-06 0.005635 0.014325 0.033759 0.078862 0.178358 0.382764 0.825864
2025-07-13 0.005114 0.013564 0.033183 0.080314 0.187692 0.414853 0.921090
2025-07-20 0.004600 0.012722 0.032283 0.080892 0.195170 0.443919 1.013328
2025-07-27 0.004139 0.011922 0.031350 0.081237 0.202138 0.472632 1.107994
2025-08-03 0.003781 0.011327 0.030816 0.082449 0.211248 0.507015 1.218900
2025-08-10 0.003548 0.011028 0.030978 0.085404 0.224887 0.553065 1.361096
2025-08-17 0.003085 0.009979 0.029020 0.082638 0.224114 0.565789 1.427804
2025-08-24 0.002790 0.009370 0.028139 0.082570 0.230111 0.595125 1.536904
2025-08-31 0.002490 0.008682 0.026928 0.081418 0.233136 0.617575 1.631775
2025-09-07 0.002331 0.008411 0.026862 0.083454 0.244891 0.662881 1.787890
2025-09-14 0.002094 0.007832 0.025796 0.082456 0.248245 0.687299 1.893928